Le Pen leads France's first-round poll at 33.5 percent, Attal calls for primary

Ipsos puts Attal at 17 percent and Mélenchon at 15. Retailleau rejected the primary, saying it would only help Le Pen.

Marine Le Pen leads France's first-round vote at 33.5 percent, an Ipsos poll shows, with Gabriel Attal on 17 and Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 15. Édouard Philippe trails at 7.5 percent. On TF1, Attal called for a 'grande primaire' among democrats. The aim: block a second round between Le Pen and Mélenchon.

Bruno Retailleau rejected the joint primary. A primary with Raphaël Glucksmann makes no sense, he said, and would only serve Le Pen. In his words, it amounts to putting the left and right together, and Le Pen waits for nothing else. The poll also shows movement, Ipsos found. Attal has gained and Le Pen has slipped slightly compared with the September wave for Le Parisien. In September, Attal stood at 14.5 percent, against Le Pen's 34.

Ipsos drew up a second scenario too, this one with Édouard Philippe as the only candidate of the centre. In that picture, Philippe stands at 15.5 percent. Le Pen still leads at 33.5 percent, with Mélenchon at 14 percent. The poll was carried out October 21 and 22 among 1,500 French registered voters for Le Parisien. The fieldwork measured voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election.

The poll also dug into old voters. Ipsos found that 60 percent of Mélenchon's 2022 first-round voters would vote for him again, four points more than in September. Ipsos also asked Macron's 2022 voters about the Attal-Philippe scenario. In it, 42 percent back Philippe, 18 percent Glucksmann and 13 percent Attal.

A Toluna Harris Interactive survey was conducted for M6 and RTL. It ran online from October 19 to 21, 2026, and covered 2,094 registered voters. In that poll, Bruno Retailleau stood at 7 percent of first-round voting intentions, and Raphaël Glucksmann at 12.